Sport Picks
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail Prediction & H2H Stats
Qatar
QSL Cup 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
18'
18'
Darros J. P.
22'
22'
Al Naimat Y.
33'
33'
Al Naimat Y.
AI Match Summary
Al Arabi (Qatar) in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lusail
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Arabi (Qatar) lately — more wins on the board than Lusail.
- Model gives Lusail a 39% chance of winning this.
- Al Arabi (Qatar) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lusail, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Arabi (Qatar) here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Arabi (Qatar) | Lusail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
6:1
May 8, 2022 QFA Cup
Lusail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:3
Apr 14, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Naimat Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Darros J. P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Lusail Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaaban M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 / 100
Lusail 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Arabi (Qatar) Lusail
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lusail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Al Arabi (Qatar) remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Lusail
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Arabi (Qatar)
(Home) 21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0 Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2 Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1 Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2 Shamal
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0 Qatar SC
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2 Shamal
01 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 1 Al Fateh
13 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2 Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1 Qatar SC
Page 1 of 3
Lusail
(Away) 29 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1 Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1 Lusail
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0 Lusail
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
