Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Darros J. P.
22'
22'
Al Naimat Y.
33'
33'
Al Naimat Y.
AI Match Summary
Al Arabi (Qatar) in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lusail
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Arabi (Qatar) lately — more wins on the board than Lusail.
- Model gives Lusail a 70% chance of winning this.
- Al Arabi (Qatar) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lusail, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Arabi (Qatar) here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 16%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Arabi (Qatar) | Lusail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
6:1
May 8, 2022 QFA Cup
Lusail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:3
Apr 14, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Naimat Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Darros J. P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Lusail Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaaban M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Arabi (Qatar) 15 / 100
Lusail 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Arabi (Qatar) Lusail
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.
Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Lusail has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Lusail
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Arabi (Qatar)
(Home) 27 Jul
Neom SC
4 : 1 Al Arabi (Qatar)
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
13 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2 Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1 Qatar SC
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13 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2 Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1 Qatar SC
25 Mar
Al Arabi (Qatar)
3 : 1 Al-Waab
17 Mar
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 1 Al-Sadd
05 Feb
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2 Shamal
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Lusail
(Away) 24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0 Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2 Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
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24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0 Lusail
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
14 Mar
Muaither SC
2 : 2 Lusail
08 Feb
Al Khor
1 : 5 Lusail
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
