Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Bukiryah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Department of Education Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ousmane Pato
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Al Juhani F. In: Al Mayad A.
Out: Al Juhani F.
61'
Sub
Ahoudo G. In: Al Haribi A.
Out: Ahoudo G.

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) host Al Bukiryah in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Bukiryah have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) have conceded 2.25 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) have won 2 to Al Bukiryah's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward Al Bukiryah. Al Bukiryah in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
39%
Draws
30%
Al Bukiryah
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Bukiryah has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 15%
Al Bukiryah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Al Bukiryah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Bukiryah
1:1
Dec 24, 2025 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Bukiryah
0:2
Nov 27, 2024 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
0:1
May 28, 2024 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Bukiryah
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Compare

Top Goalscorer Udo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Bukiryah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 31 / 100
Al Bukiryah 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Al Bukiryah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Al Bukiryah let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Bukiryah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) VS Al Bukiryah
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abha34245564:3577
2Al-Faisaly342110376:3273
3Al Diriyah34226679:3972
4Al-Ula34218572:3371
5Al Orubah34205956:3865
6Al Jabalain34178959:3859
7Al Raed3414101064:4652
8Al Zulfi3411121146:4545
9Al Taee341281448:5244
10Al Wehda341271552:5843
11Al Bukiryah341271536:4843
12Al Anwar3410111353:5441
13Jeddah Club349121334:5139
14Al Adalah34891744:7033
15Al Jandal34881834:6032
16Al Batin34572239:6922
17Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)34562324:6721
18Al Jubail34352628:7314