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Al Baydaa vs Al Helal Al Sahely

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Baydaa play Al Helal Al Sahely in the Division 1 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Baydaa averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Al Helal Al Sahely averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Al Baydaa won 1, Al Helal Al Sahely won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 12, 2010 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Al Baydaa and 1.75 for Al Helal Al Sahely. This points to a Al Helal Al Sahely double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Baydaa
15%
Draws
54%
Al Helal Al Sahely
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Helal Al Sahely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Al Baydaa picked up more points recently compared to Al Helal Al Sahely.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Al Baydaa Clean Sheet 12%
Al Helal Al Sahely Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Baydaa Al Helal Al Sahely
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2010 Division 1
Al Helal Al Sahely vs Al Baydaa
2:0
Nov 20, 2009 Division 1
Al Baydaa vs Al Helal Al Sahely
1:0
Jun 19, 2009 Division 1
Al Baydaa vs Al Helal Al Sahely
0:1
Nov 7, 2008 Division 1
Al Helal Al Sahely vs Al Baydaa
2:0
Jun 22, 2007 Division 1
Al Helal Al Sahely vs Al Baydaa
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Baydaa 30 / 100
Al Helal Al Sahely 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Baydaa Al Helal Al Sahely

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Helal Al Sahely Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Helal Al Sahely & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Baydaa attacking → ← attacking Al Helal Al Sahely

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Baydaa scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Al Helal Al Sahely let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Baydaa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Helal Al Sahely lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Helal Al Sahely26175437:1256
2Al Ahli26174548:2455
3Al-Saqr261110531:2043
4Al Shula2699832:3136
5Al-Wahda Aden261061027:3436
6Al Baydaa26810827:1834
7Al Yarmuk26810821:2034
8Al-Shaab Ibb26712728:2533
9Al-Tilal2689921:2733
10Al-Ittihad26711820:2132
11Al Shabab Hadramaut26861232:3330
12Hassan26791022:2830
13Al Rasheed26311129:3420
14Al Shaab Sana26361720:4815