Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Bidda vs Al Wakra Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dal Bello Fagundes C. D.
24' Event
Abdulqawi F.
45' Event
Abdurisag Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Bidda in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Bidda
30%
Draws
29%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Bidda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Wakra at 1.45 per game, Al Bidda at 1.27.
  • Model gives Al Bidda a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Wakra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 18%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bidda Al Wakra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Bidda vs Al Wakra
2:1
Apr 8, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Bidda vs Al Wakra
4:1
Mar 13, 2019 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Wakra
0:4
Jan 31, 2019 QSL 2
Al Wakra vs Al Bidda
4:0
Oct 25, 2018 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Wakra
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Dal Bello Fagundes C. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulqawi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurisag Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bidda 67 / 100
Al Wakra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bidda Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Bidda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Al Bidda scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Wakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Al Bidda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Bidda VS Al Wakra
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bidda

(Home)
01 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 0
Al Bidda
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al Gharafa 2
Page 1 of 6

Al Wakra

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)