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Al Bidda vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ali O.
58' Event
Ali O.
68' Event
Al Saeed A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Bidda
30%
Draws
31%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Bidda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Al Bidda haven't matched Shamal's recent run of results.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Shamal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bidda Shamal
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Bidda vs Shamal
0:4
Oct 3, 2025 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Bidda
3:3
Apr 3, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Bidda vs Shamal
0:3
Feb 25, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Bidda
0:0
Jan 5, 2021 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Shamal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bidda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Saeed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bidda 34 / 100
Shamal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bidda Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Bidda's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shamal let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Bidda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Bidda VS Shamal
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bidda

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
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Shamal

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Al-Duhail 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Muaither SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Umm-Salal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Wakra 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al-Shahaniya 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Lusail 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Al-Waab 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Al Rayyan 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Qatar SC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Al-Gharafa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Sailiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Al Ahli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Al Markhiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al-Kharitiyath 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Al Mesaimeer 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Al Khor 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Al Bidda 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)