Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
56' Event
75'

AI Match Summary

Al-Najma in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Budaiya
6%
Draws
90%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Najma average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Al-Budaiya's 0.5.
  • Model gives Al-Najma a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Budaiya Al-Najma
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Budaiya
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Budaiya 10 / 100
Al-Najma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Budaiya Al-Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Budaiya scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Al-Najma has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Al-Budaiya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Budaiya VS Al-Najma
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 7

Al-Najma

(Away)
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Najma33008:39
2Manama Club32016:36
3Al-Budaiya31021:43
4Al-Ittihad30031:60
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)