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Al Dahra vs Al-Khmes

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Dahra in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Dahra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Dahra
30%
Draws
39%
Al-Khmes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Khmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Khmes have won more games recently than Al Dahra.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Al Dahra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dahra Al-Khmes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
3:2
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al-Khmes
3:1
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
3:2
Jan 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al-Khmes
1:0
Jul 5, 2022 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dahra 40 / 100
Al-Khmes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dahra Al-Khmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Dahra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Dahra scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Al-Khmes has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Dahra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Dahra VS Al-Khmes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dahra

(Home)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3
Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 7

Al-Khmes

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)