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Al Dahra vs Al Watan Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Al Dahra Logo

Al Dahra

3 - 3
FT
Al Watan Logo

Al Watan

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hamouma M.
Assist: Al Gharabli T.
42' Event
Fikri M.
Assist: Al Gharabli T.
45' Event
Abdullah Y.
Assist: Bokouya W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Dahra and Al Watan finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Dahra
15%
Draws
51%
Al Watan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Watan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Watan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Dahra taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Watan here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 20%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dahra Al Watan
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Dahra
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Watan
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Watan
3:3
Jan 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Dahra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Dahra Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullah Y.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Watan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamouma M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fikri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dahra 42 / 100
Al Watan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dahra Al Watan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dahra scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Al Watan let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Al Watan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Dahra VS Al Watan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dahra

(Home)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3
Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 7

Al Watan

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1
Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0
Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al-Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al-Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al-Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al-Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al-Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al-Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)