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Al Diwaniya vs Naft Al-Basra

Iraq Iraq

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Jalal A.
29' Event
Zamil A.
85' Event
Amaar H.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2022/2023 game between Al Diwaniya and Naft Al-Basra finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Al-Basra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al Diwaniya
6%
Draws
90%
Naft Al-Basra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naft Al-Basra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naft Al-Basra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Naft Al-Basra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Diwaniya Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Al-Basra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Diwaniya Naft Al-Basra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2023 Stars League
Al Diwaniya vs Naft Al-Basra
0:4
Dec 15, 2022 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Diwaniya
1:1
Mar 9, 2022 Stars League
Al Diwaniya vs Naft Al-Basra
0:2
Oct 26, 2021 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Diwaniya
2:1
May 11, 2021 Stars League
Al Diwaniya vs Naft Al-Basra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Diwaniya Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Naft Al-Basra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamil A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jalal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Diwaniya 10 / 100
Naft Al-Basra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Diwaniya Naft Al-Basra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naft Al-Basra conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Naft Al-Basra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Diwaniya's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naft Al-Basra
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Diwaniya

(Home)
20 Jul
Al Diwaniya
0 : 1
Naft Missan
15 Jul
Al Kahraba
5 : 0
Al Diwaniya
10 Jul
Al Diwaniya
1 : 3
Karbala
06 Jul
Al-Qassim
3 : 0
Al Diwaniya
29 Jun
Al Diwaniya
1 : 2
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

Naft Al-Basra

(Away)
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0
Naft Al-Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al-Basra
4 : 3
Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2
Naft Al-Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al-Basra
1 : 3
Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1
Naft Al-Basra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Shorta38257663:2482
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya38239662:2678
3Al Zawraa381814650:3268
4Al Talaba381991052:3966
5Al Kahraba3817111051:3862
6Erbil3816101244:3958
7Al Najaf3815111246:4156
8Karbala3815111239:3456
9Duhok3812161037:3952
10Al Karkh3813121340:3651
11Newroz381491545:4351
12Naft Missan3813121342:5451
13Al-Hudod381019940:3749
14Naft Al-Basra389161334:4043
15Zakho389151439:4242
16Al Naft389131639:5040
17Al-Qassim389121731:4339
18Al Wasat385211226:3436
19Al Sinaa38772426:5428
20Al Diwaniya38263025:8612
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