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Al Duhail vs Lusail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Duhail host Lusail in the QSL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Duhail at 1.55 goals for, 1.17 against; Lusail at 1.5 for, 1.68 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Al Duhail to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Duhail
35%
Draws
29%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Duhail come out ahead of Lusail on wins alone.
  • Al Duhail are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 20%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Duhail Lusail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Duhail 49 / 100
Lusail 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Duhail Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Duhail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Duhail found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Al Duhail stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lusail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Duhail VS Lusail
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Duhail

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al Duhail
Page 1 of 6

Lusail

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
5 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)