Sport Picks
Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah 
Match Events
28'
28'
Bergwijn S.
Assist: Rios R.
43'
43'
En Nesyri Y.
Assist: Ilenikhena G.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Muwallad E. In: Bongonda T.
Out: Al Muwallad E.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al-Faisaly and Al Ittihad finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al-Faisaly carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Al Ittihad a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Ittihad here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Faisaly | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad
1:3
Feb 4, 2024 King Cup
Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad
0:4
Jan 21, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al-Faisaly
1:0
Aug 27, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad
1:2
Feb 23, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al-Faisaly
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Faisaly Compare
Top Goalscorer Bongonda T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer En Nesyri Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bergwijn S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Faisaly 10 / 100
Al Ittihad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Faisaly Al Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Al-Faisaly's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Al-Faisaly has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Faisaly VS Al Ittihad
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Faisaly
(Home) 11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0 Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly
0 : 2 Neom SC
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Neom SC
Page 1 of 4
Al Ittihad
(Away) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
