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Al-Faisaly vs Al Jubail Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Silva L.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Fajr F.
Assist: Al Rashwodi N.
46'
Sub
Al Dossari F. In: Al Solan H.
Out: Al Dossari F.

AI Match Summary

Al-Faisaly in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Faisaly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al-Faisaly
30%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Faisaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al Jubail haven't matched Al-Faisaly's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al-Faisaly a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Faisaly here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Faisaly Al Jubail
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 2.16 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Jubail
2:1
Nov 28, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al-Faisaly
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al-Faisaly
1:1
Sep 17, 2024 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Jubail
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Morato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Jubail Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajr F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Faisaly 76 / 100
Al Jubail 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Faisaly Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Faisaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Faisaly found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Al Jubail conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Al Jubail has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al-Faisaly VS Al Jubail
2.38 Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Faisaly

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 7

Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)