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Al-Faisaly vs Al-Ula

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Quioto R.
20' Event
Al Mogren A.
31'
Danilo Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al-Faisaly and Al-Ula finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Faisaly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Al-Faisaly
20%
Draws
11%
Al-Ula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Faisaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Al-Faisaly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Al-Faisaly taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Faisaly Al-Ula
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al-Ula
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al-Faisaly
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mogren A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quioto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Faisaly 85 / 100
Al-Ula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Faisaly Al-Ula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Faisaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Al-Faisaly's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al-Ula has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Al-Faisaly has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Faisaly VS Al-Ula
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Faisaly

(Home)
14 Aug
Al Hilal
4 : 2
Al-Faisaly
01 Aug
Beltinci
1 : 3
Al-Faisaly
14 May
Al-Faisaly
4 : 0
Al Batin
09 May
Al Bukiryah
0 : 2
Al-Faisaly
02 May
Al-Faisaly
2 : 0
Al Jabalain
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Al-Ula

(Away)
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Al-Ula
29 Jul
Como
3 : 1
Al-Ula
29 Jul
Al-Ula
0 : 3
Villarreal
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Al-Ula
20 Jul
Epitsentr
0 : 0
Al-Ula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)