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Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
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Match Events

60'
Sub
Al Fawaz A. In: Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
Out: Al Fawaz A.
71'
Sub
Messi R. In: Gluscevic M.
Out: Messi R.
78' Event
Hendry J.
Assist: Medran A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ettifaq FC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ettifaq FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
49%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ettifaq FC have won more games recently than Al Fateh.
  • Win probability leans Al Ettifaq FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:1
Feb 19, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fateh
4:3
Oct 24, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fateh
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hendry J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 15 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Ettifaq FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ettifaq FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Ettifaq FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Fateh scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Ettifaq FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
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Al Ettifaq FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)