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Al Fateh vs Al Hilal

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium
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Match Events

28'
Sub
Tambakti H. In: Darisi A.
Out: Tambakti H.
35'
Koulibaly K.
48' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Kanno M.

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Fateh
28%
Draws
50%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al Fateh.
  • Win probability leans Al Hilal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 12%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Hilal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hilal
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 King Cup
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
2:1
May 16, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hilal
3:4
Jan 16, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 22 / 100
Al Hilal 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Hilal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Fateh scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Hilal conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Hilal
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616