Sport Picks

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Al Fateh vs Al Nassr

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Fateh play Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League. Al Nassr are favorites here. Recently, Al Fateh averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Al Nassr averaged 3.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Al Fateh won 1, Al Nassr won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Al Fateh and 2.06 for Al Nassr. This points to a Al Nassr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Fateh
33%
Draws
40%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Fateh.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Al Nassr.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Saudi Professional League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Nassr
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 27
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.88 3.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
5:1
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yahya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 26 / 100
Al Nassr 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Nassr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fateh scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Al Nassr let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Nassr lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Nassr
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616