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Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Fateh host Al Riyadh in the Saudi Professional League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Al Fateh at 0.93 goals for, 1.82 against; Al Riyadh at 1.13 for, 1.77 against. Past meetings favor Al Fateh slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.56, favoring Al Riyadh. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Fateh
15%
Draws
59%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Riyadh come out ahead of Al Fateh on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 15%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Riyadh
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
1:0
Jan 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
3:1
Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
2:2
Nov 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 31 / 100
Al Riyadh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Al Fateh found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Al Fateh remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Riyadh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
22 Oct
Al Fateh
1 : 3
Al Shabab
18 Oct
Al Fateh
2 : 3
Al Khaleej
15 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 3
Al Fateh
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Riyadh

(Away)
29 Oct
Al Riyadh
0 : 6
Al Qadsiah
24 Oct
Al Riyadh
2 : 1
Al Taawon
20 Oct
Al Diriyah
1 : 0
Al Riyadh
11 Oct
Al Fayha
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 12 9 1 2 32:12 28
2 Al Nassr 11 9 1 1 28:11 28
3 Al Hilal 10 9 0 1 30:9 27
4 Al Ittihad 11 7 3 1 21:11 24
5 Neom SC 12 7 1 4 18:10 22
6 Al Ahli SC 11 7 0 4 28:19 21
7 Al Ettifaq FC 11 5 3 3 17:16 18
8 Al Diriyah 12 4 3 5 10:13 15
9 Al Khaleej 12 3 6 3 14:19 15
10 Al Shabab 11 3 5 3 20:15 14
11 Al Kholood 11 3 3 5 17:26 12
12 Al Riyadh 11 3 3 5 11:25 12
13 Al Hazem Rass 12 2 4 6 14:20 10
14 Al Faisaly 11 2 4 5 12:20 10
15 Al Fayha 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
16 Al Fateh 11 1 3 7 10:23 6
17 Al Taawon 11 0 4 7 5:19 4
18 Abha 11 0 3 8 7:19 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)