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Al Fateh vs Damac Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
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Match Events

16' Event
Meite Y.
Assist: Al Obaid A.
31'
Al Suwailem A.
32'
Al Anazi D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
47%
Damac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Fateh haven't matched Damac's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 18%
Damac Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Damac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Damac
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Fateh
1:1
May 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Fateh
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Damac
2:1
Feb 23, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Damac
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Meite Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 32 / 100
Damac 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Damac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Al Fateh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Fateh scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Damac
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
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Damac

(Away)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)