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Al Fayha vs Abha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Rosier L. In: Al-Zaid M.
Out: Rosier L.
32' Event
Lazaro
38'
Al Shamrani K.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Fayha and Abha finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Fayha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Fayha
35%
Draws
19%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Fayha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abha come out ahead of Al Fayha on wins alone.
  • Al Fayha are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 68%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Abha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
3:2
Feb 25, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
3:2
Aug 28, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Fayha
2:1
Mar 2, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
2:0
Sep 16, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Fayha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gory A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 68 / 100
Abha 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Fayha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Fayha scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Al Fayha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Abha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fayha

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Fayha
4 : 1
Al Faisaly
22 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 2
Al Fayha
19 Oct
Al Fayha
2 : 3
Al Ahli SC
15 Oct
Al Khaleej
2 : 0
Al Fayha
11 Oct
Al Fayha
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Abha

(Away)
30 Oct
Abha
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
27 Oct
Abha
0 : 1
Al Faisaly
24 Oct
Neom SC
2 : 0
Abha
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 11 10 0 1 32:9 30
2 Al Qadsiah 12 9 1 2 32:12 28
3 Al Nassr 11 9 1 1 28:11 28
4 Al Ittihad 11 7 3 1 21:11 24
5 Neom SC 12 7 1 4 18:10 22
6 Al Ahli SC 11 7 0 4 28:19 21
7 Al Ettifaq FC 12 5 4 3 18:17 19
8 Al Diriyah 12 4 3 5 10:13 15
9 Al Khaleej 12 3 6 3 14:19 15
10 Al Shabab 11 3 5 3 20:15 14
11 Al Kholood 11 3 3 5 17:26 12
12 Al Riyadh 11 3 3 5 11:25 12
13 Al Fayha 12 2 5 5 16:20 11
14 Al Hazem Rass 12 2 4 6 14:20 10
15 Al Faisaly 12 2 4 6 13:24 10
16 Al Fateh 12 1 3 8 10:25 6
17 Al Taawon 12 0 5 7 6:20 5
18 Abha 11 0 3 8 7:19 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)