Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fayha vs Abha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Rosier L. In: Al-Zaid M.
Out: Rosier L.
32' Event
Lazaro
38'
Al Shamrani K.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Fayha and Abha finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Fayha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Al Fayha
30%
Draws
8%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Fayha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abha come out ahead of Al Fayha on wins alone.
  • Al Fayha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 68%
Abha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Abha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
3:2
Feb 25, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
3:2
Aug 28, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Fayha
2:1
Mar 2, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Abha
2:0
Sep 16, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Fayha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gory A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 95 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Fayha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Fayha scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Al Fayha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Abha
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fayha

(Home)
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
20 Aug
Al Fayha
0 : 3
Al Hilal
17 Aug
Al Adalah
0 : 2
Al Fayha
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Abha

(Away)
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0
Abha
16 Aug
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Abha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Al Qadsiah 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Al Ittihad 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
4 Al Nassr 5 4 0 1 13:5 12
5 Neom SC 6 4 0 2 9:4 12
6 Al Ettifaq FC 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Al Ahli SC 6 3 0 3 13:9 9
8 Al Kholood 5 2 3 0 10:7 9
9 Al Hazem Rass 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
10 Al Diriyah 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 Al Fayha 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
12 Al Riyadh 6 1 2 3 6:16 5
13 Al Khaleej 6 0 4 2 2:9 4
14 Al Taawon 6 0 3 3 3:6 3
15 Al Shabab 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
16 Al Fateh 5 0 3 2 1:5 3
17 Al-Faisaly 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
18 Abha 5 0 1 4 4:11 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)