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Al Fayha vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
03:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Fayha host Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Ahli SC have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Al Fayha have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Al Fayha have won 0 to Al Ahli SC's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Al Ahli SC. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Fayha
35%
Draws
35%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Fayha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahli SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Ahli SC
1:1
Dec 30, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Fayha
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Fayha
5:0
Nov 22, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Ahli SC
0:1
May 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Fayha
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 35 / 100
Al Ahli SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Fayha scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Al Ahli SC let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Al Fayha went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Al Ahli SC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fayha

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)