Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fayha vs Al Fateh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Baattia S. In: Al Sarnoukh M.
Out: Baattia S.
38'
Al Zubaidi F.
38'
Kaabi R.

AI Match Summary

Al Fayha host Al Fateh in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Fayha have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Al Fateh's 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Fayha slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al Fateh. Al Fateh in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Fayha
40%
Draws
29%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Fateh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Fayha.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Saudi Professional League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Al Fateh
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Fateh
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Fayha
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Fateh
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Fayha
1:1
May 9, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Fateh
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakala F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 32 / 100
Al Fateh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Al Fateh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fayha scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Al Fateh let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Fayha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Fateh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Al Fateh
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616