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Al-Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cola S.
34' Event
Njie Y.
73' Event
Morsy O.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2 game between Al-Gharafa 2 and Al Markhiya finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Markhiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al-Gharafa 2
20%
Draws
57%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Markhiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al-Gharafa 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Gharafa 2 Al Markhiya
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al-Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Apr 3, 2017 QSL 2
Al-Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
1:6
Nov 29, 2015 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Gharafa 2
3:5
Feb 8, 2015 QSL 2
Al-Gharafa 2 vs Al Markhiya
1:1
Oct 20, 2013 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Gharafa 2
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Gharafa 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Cola S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Njie Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Gharafa 2 20 / 100
Al Markhiya 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Gharafa 2 Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Al Markhiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Al-Gharafa 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Gharafa 2 VS Al Markhiya
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Gharafa 2

(Home)
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
04 Mar
Umm-Salal 2
1 : 2
Al-Gharafa 2
03 Apr
Al-Gharafa 2
1 : 6
Al Markhiya
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Al Markhiya

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Markhiya 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Al Bidda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Al-Waab 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Al-Kharitiyath 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Umm-Salal 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
8 Al Khor 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
10 Al-Gharafa 2 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Shamal 2 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Al Rayyan 2 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)