Sport Picks
Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
AI Match Summary
Al Gharafa host Al Duhail in the QSL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Gharafa have averaged 1.43 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Al Duhail's 1.63 scored and 1.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Duhail slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.88) back Al Duhail to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Al Duhail lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharafa.
- Model gives Al Duhail a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Duhail here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Al Duhail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Gharafa scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Al Duhail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Al Gharafa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharafa
(Home)Al Duhail
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Duhail | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Shamal | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Shahaniya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Lusail | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Al Wakra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 10 | Al Gharafa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:12 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 0 |
