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Al Gharafa vs Al Kharitiyath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Al Gharafa Logo

Al Gharafa

2 - 0
FT
Al Kharitiyath Logo

Al Kharitiyath

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Traore D.
33' Event
Joselu
(Penalty)
45'
Traore D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Gharafa
35%
Draws
39%
Al Kharitiyath
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kharitiyath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kharitiyath carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Al Kharitiyath arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Gharafa, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Gharafa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 19%
Al Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa Al Kharitiyath
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Kharitiyath
2:0
Feb 16, 2022 Emir Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Kharitiyath
4:0
Jan 20, 2021 QSL
Al Kharitiyath vs Al Gharafa
1:2
Oct 18, 2020 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Kharitiyath
2:0
Oct 14, 2020 QSL Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Kharitiyath
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Kharitiyath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 36 / 100
Al Kharitiyath 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa Al Kharitiyath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kharitiyath Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Gharafa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Kharitiyath has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Gharafa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa VS Al Kharitiyath
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 6

Al Kharitiyath

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al Duhail -
TBD -
Al Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al Gharafa -
TBD -
Al Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al Duhail 2
Al Waab 0
Al Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al Gharafa 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al Sadd 6
Al Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al Sadd 4
Al Duhail 1
Al Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al Sadd 1
Al Gharafa 4