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Al Gharafa vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Gharafa host Al Qadsiah in the AFC Champions League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Al Gharafa at 1.43 goals for, 1.93 against; Al Qadsiah at 2.46 for, 1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.88, favoring Al Qadsiah. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Gharafa
30%
Draws
47%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah have won more games recently than Al Gharafa.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Al Qadsiah taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.43 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 26 / 100
Al Qadsiah 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Gharafa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Al Qadsiah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Al Gharafa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Qadsiah lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa VS Al Qadsiah
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa

(Home)
30 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 0
Qatar SC
26 Oct
Al Ahli SC
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadsiah

(Away)
29 Oct
Al Riyadh
0 : 6
Al Qadsiah
26 Oct
Al Qadsiah
1 : 1
Al Sadd
23 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 3
Al Hilal
20 Oct
Al Taawon
0 : 1
Al Qadsiah
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Vissel Kobe 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Gamba Osaka 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Johor DT 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
5 Beijing Guoan 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
6 Kyoto 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
8 Shanghai Port 3 1 1 1 9:8 4
9 Daejeon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Jeonbuk 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11 Cong An Ha Noi 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 Buriram United F.C. 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Ratchaburi 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
14 Pohang 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
15 Port MTI FC 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
16 Newcastle Jets 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Al Ahli SC 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Esteghlal TEH 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Al Hilal 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Shamal 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
7 Al Qadsiah 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Al Ittihad 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
10 Neftchi Fargona 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 Pakhtakor 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Tractor 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
14 Al Sadd 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
15 Al Gharafa 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
16 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)