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Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

21'
Al Oui A.
44'
Garcia D.
44'
De Sart J.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Gharafa and Al Rayyan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Gharafa
35%
Draws
39%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Gharafa haven't matched Al Rayyan's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa Al Rayyan
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.36 2.09
Goals Conceded 2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan
0:0
Feb 26, 2026 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan
3:2
Sep 25, 2025 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa
2:3
May 24, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa
1:2
Jan 29, 2025 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 30 / 100
Al Rayyan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al Gharafa scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Al Rayyan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Al Gharafa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa VS Al Rayyan
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa

(Home)
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
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Al Rayyan

(Away)
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
14 Oct
Al Taawon
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
09 Oct
Qatar SC
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Al Sadd 6 4 0 2 23:13 12
3 Al Arabi (Qatar) 6 3 3 0 14:5 12
4 Al Duhail 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
5 Shamal 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
6 Al Wakra 6 2 2 2 10:11 8
7 Al Ahli 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
8 Al Shahaniya 6 2 1 3 8:15 7
9 Lusail 6 1 3 2 7:5 6
10 Al Gharafa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
11 Qatar SC 6 0 3 3 6:14 3
12 Al Sailiya 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)