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Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

23' Event
Magri F.
Assist: Diaz F.
32'
Muniesa M.
37'
Sayyar M.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al-Gharafa and Al-Shahaniya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Gharafa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al-Gharafa
20%
Draws
51%
Al-Shahaniya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Shahaniya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Shahaniya come out ahead of Al-Gharafa on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al-Gharafa taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Shahaniya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Shahaniya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya
2:1
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 QSL
Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Magri F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Shahaniya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Gharafa 36 / 100
Al-Shahaniya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Gharafa Al-Shahaniya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Gharafa scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Al-Shahaniya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Al-Gharafa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Gharafa VS Al-Shahaniya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Gharafa

(Home)
01 Oct
Al-Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
Page 1 of 6

Al-Shahaniya

(Away)
28 Sept
Al-Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al-Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)