Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Gharafa host Al-Shahaniya in the QSL. This has Al-Gharafa written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Al-Gharafa at 1.5 goals for, 2.13 against; Al-Shahaniya at 1.5 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Al-Gharafa have won 1 to Al-Shahaniya's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Al-Gharafa to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al-Gharafa
17%
Draws
13%
Al-Shahaniya
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Gharafa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Shahaniya come out ahead of Al-Gharafa on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Al-Gharafa taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Shahaniya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Shahaniya
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 QSL
Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa
2:4
Apr 9, 2023 Emir Cup
Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Gharafa 67 / 100
Al-Shahaniya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Gharafa Al-Shahaniya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Shahaniya has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Al-Gharafa scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Al-Gharafa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Gharafa VS Al-Shahaniya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Gharafa

(Home)
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Al-Gharafa
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
Page 1 of 7

Al-Shahaniya

(Away)
08 May
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
27 Apr
Al-Gharafa
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
03 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
24 Mar
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al-Shahaniya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)