Sport Picks
Al-Gharafa vs Lusail
Qatar
QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
AI Match Summary
Al-Gharafa host Lusail in the QSL. Al-Gharafa go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Al-Gharafa at 1.25 goals for, 2.25 against; Lusail at 1.43 for, 1.71 against. Head-to-head, Al-Gharafa have won 0 to Lusail's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Gharafa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Lusail at 1.43 per game, Al-Gharafa at 1.25.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Al-Gharafa taking it.
- Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Lusail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.71 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Gharafa scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Al-Gharafa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Gharafa
(Home)Lusail
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Wakra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Al Ahli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Al-Duhail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Shamal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al-Shahaniya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lusail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
