Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Gharafa vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Al-Gharafa Logo

Al-Gharafa

0 - 0
FT
Lusail Logo

Lusail

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sassi F.
58'
Aiash M.
64'
Sub
Coman F. In: Ounas A.
Out: Coman F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this QSL matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Gharafa
30%
Draws
39%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Gharafa lately — more wins on the board than Lusail.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Lusail taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 20%
Lusail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Gharafa Lusail
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Lusail
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Gharafa vs Lusail
1:1
Sep 4, 2023 QFA Cup
Al-Gharafa vs Lusail
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Gharafa 20 / 100
Lusail 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Gharafa Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Gharafa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Gharafa VS Lusail
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Gharafa

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
21 Aug
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
Page 1 of 7

Lusail

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)