Sport Picks
Al-Gharafa vs Shamal
Qatar
QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
AI Match Summary
Al-Gharafa host Shamal in the QSL. Al-Gharafa are expected to control this from the start. Shamal have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Al-Gharafa have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Al-Gharafa have won 1 to Shamal's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Gharafa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Shamal come out ahead of Al-Gharafa on wins alone.
- Al-Gharafa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Gharafa scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Shamal let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Al-Gharafa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Shamal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Gharafa
(Home)Shamal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Wakra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Al Ahli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Al-Duhail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Shamal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al-Shahaniya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lusail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
