Sport Picks
Al Gharraf vs Al Naft - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
AI Match Summary
Al Gharraf host Al Naft in the Stars League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Al Gharraf have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Al Naft's 1 scored and 0.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Gharraf slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.31) back Al Naft to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Gharraf haven't matched Al Naft's recent run of results.
- Model gives Al Naft a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharraf | Al Naft |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Al Gharraf scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Al Naft has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Al Gharraf stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharraf
(Home)Al Naft
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
