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Al Gharraf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Gharraf host Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Al Gharraf have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.87. Head-to-head, Al Gharraf have won 0 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Al Quwa Al Jawiya to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Gharraf
35%
Draws
20%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Gharraf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Gharraf haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
  • Al Gharraf are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 20%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Gharraf
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 40 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Gharraf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Gharraf has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Al Quwa Al Jawiya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
22 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Naft
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
02 Nov
Al Wasl
4 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Minaa
26 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)