Sport Picks

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Al Gharraf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Jawad M.
75' Event
Dakhel H.
90' Event
Ramadhan W.

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Gharraf
44%
Draws
20%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won more games recently than Al Gharraf.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 18%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Gharraf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharraf Compare

Top Goalscorer Dakhel H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramadhan W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 36 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Gharraf went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Gharraf scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)