Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Gharraf vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ahmed H.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Gharraf
20%
Draws
38%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Gharraf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Gharraf taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 68%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharraf Al Zawraa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Gharraf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharraf Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 51 / 100
Al Zawraa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharraf Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Gharraf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Zawraa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Gharraf scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Al Zawraa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharraf

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Al Minaa
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)