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Al Ghazieh vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ghazieh play Al Riyadi Abbasiyah in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ghazieh averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Al Riyadi Abbasiyah averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ghazieh won 0, Al Riyadi Abbasiyah won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Al Ghazieh and 0.86 for Al Riyadi Abbasiyah. This points to a Al Riyadi Abbasiyah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Ghazieh
34%
Draws
45%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Al Ghazieh picked up more points recently compared to Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 25%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.05

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:4
Jun 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0:0
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ghazieh
3:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ghazieh
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 24 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Ghazieh attacking → ← attacking Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ghazieh scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Ghazieh went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25