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Al Hikma vs Al Ahed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hikma host Al Ahed in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Hikma have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Al Ahed's 1.41 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Hikma have won 2 to Al Ahed's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring Al Ahed. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Hikma
30%
Draws
23%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahed's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Al Hikma have produced (1.19).
  • Model gives Al Hikma a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hikma Al Ahed
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
1:3
Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hikma 41 / 100
Al Ahed 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hikma Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hikma scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Al Ahed has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Hikma remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hikma VS Al Ahed
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hikma

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Hikma
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al Mabarrah
Page 1 of 8

Al Ahed

(Away)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Tadamon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)