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Al Hikma vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hikma play Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Hikma averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Al Hikma won 3, Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Al Hikma and 1.31 for Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley. This points to a Al Hikma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Hikma
15%
Draws
36%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Al Hikma picked up more points recently compared to Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 18%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hikma Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Hikma
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:1
Apr 14, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Hikma
0:2
Mar 20, 2022 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hikma Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hourani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hikma 48 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hikma Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Hikma or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Hikma attacking → ← attacking Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hikma scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Al Hikma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 32
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00