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Al Hilal Kadougli vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal Kadougli play Al Mourada in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Hilal Kadougli averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Al Mourada averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Hilal Kadougli won 3, Al Mourada won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 2, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Al Hilal Kadougli and 1.56 for Al Mourada. This points to a Al Hilal Kadougli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Hilal Kadougli
35%
Draws
32%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Hilal Kadougli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal Kadougli picked up more points recently compared to Al Mourada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Al Hilal Kadougli Clean Sheet 15%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Kadougli Al Mourada
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 15 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.76 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2019 Premier League
Al Hilal Kadougli vs Al Mourada
2:0
Aug 21, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al Hilal Kadougli
1:1
Feb 20, 2013 Premier League
Al Hilal Kadougli vs Al Mourada
2:0
Jul 7, 2012 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al Hilal Kadougli
1:0
Feb 29, 2012 Premier League
Al Hilal Kadougli vs Al Mourada
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Kadougli 33 / 100
Al Mourada 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Kadougli Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Hilal Kadougli or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Hilal Kadougli attacking → ← attacking Al Mourada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Kadougli scored in 54% of their last 37 games.

Al Mourada let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Al Hilal Kadougli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Mourada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76