Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hilal Manaqil vs Umm Mughad

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal Manaqil play Umm Mughad in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Hilal Manaqil averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Umm Mughad averaged 2 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Al Hilal Manaqil won 0, Umm Mughad won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.89 for Al Hilal Manaqil and 1.43 for Umm Mughad. This points to a Umm Mughad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Hilal Manaqil
6%
Draws
4%
Umm Mughad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Hilal Manaqil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Umm Mughad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Hilal Manaqil.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Hilal Manaqil.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Hilal Manaqil Clean Sheet 17%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Manaqil Umm Mughad
Matches Played 18 23
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Al Hilal Manaqil
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Manaqil vs Umm Mughad
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Manaqil 84 / 100
Umm Mughad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Manaqil Umm Mughad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Manaqil scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Umm Mughad let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Al Hilal Manaqil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Umm Mughad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Manaqil VS Umm Mughad
1.14 Goals Scored 2
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010