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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Tusker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al Hilal Omdurman Logo

Al Hilal Omdurman

2 - 0
FT
Tusker Logo

Tusker

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mamudu K.
90' Event
Adams S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Hilal Omdurman
15%
Draws
39%
Tusker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal Omdurman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal Omdurman taking it.
  • Al Hilal Omdurman have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hilal Omdurman, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%
Tusker Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Omdurman Tusker
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Tusker
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Omdurman Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamudu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Tusker Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Omdurman 77 / 100
Tusker 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Omdurman Tusker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Omdurman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Omdurman scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Tusker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Al Hilal Omdurman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Omdurman VS Tusker
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

Tusker

(Away)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
01 Aug
Tusker
2 : 0
KVZ
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams