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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Tusker

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mamudu K.
90' Event
Adams S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Al-Hilal Omdurman advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22%
Draws
18%
Tusker
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Al-Hilal Omdurman taking it.
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Hilal Omdurman, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%
Tusker Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Tusker
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Tusker
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hilal Omdurman Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamudu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tusker Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 68 / 100
Tusker 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Tusker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hilal Omdurman scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Tusker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Al-Hilal Omdurman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman VS Tusker
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
Page 1 of 7

Tusker

(Away)
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus11002:03
2Simba10100:01
3Mogadishu City10100:01
4Singida Black Stars10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams