Sport Picks
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena, Riyadh 
Match Events
9'
9'
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Mandash S.
11'
11'
Ibanez
13'
13'
Meite M.
AI Match Summary
Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al Ahli SC.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Hilal | Al Ahli SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hilal
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hilal
3:3
Apr 29, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Hilal Compare
Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Summerville C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Al Ahli SC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Hilal 30 / 100
Al Ahli SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Hilal Al Ahli SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Hilal scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Al Ahli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Al Hilal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Hilal VS Al Ahli SC
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Hilal
(Home) 10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2 Al Ittihad
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6 Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2 Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2 Al Ittihad
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2 Neom SC
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
14 Aug
Al Hilal
4 : 2 Al Faisaly
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahli SC
(Away) 09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4 Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4 Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
