Sport Picks
Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena, Riyadh 
Match Events
19'
19'
Benzema K.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Malcom
28'
28'
Neves R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Hilal and Al-Faisaly finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Hilal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
30%
14%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hilal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Hilal come out ahead of Al-Faisaly on wins alone.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Hilal have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Hilal | Al-Faisaly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.57 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly
4:2
Jun 27, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly
2:1
Jan 6, 2022 Super Cup
Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly
3:2
Dec 31, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al-Faisaly vs Al Hilal
2:3
May 30, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Hilal Compare
Top Goalscorer Malcom
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al-Faisaly Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendy A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bongonda T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Hilal 85 / 100
Al-Faisaly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Hilal Al-Faisaly
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Hilal scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Al-Faisaly conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Al Hilal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Hilal VS Al-Faisaly
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Hilal
(Home) 15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6 Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2 Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2 Neom SC
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
14 Aug
Al Hilal
4 : 2 Al-Faisaly
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3 Al Ahli
Page 1 of 3
Al-Faisaly
(Away) 11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0 Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0 Al-Faisaly
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
14 Aug
Al Hilal
4 : 2 Al-Faisaly
01 Aug
Beltinci
1 : 3 Al-Faisaly
09 May
Al Bukiryah
0 : 2 Al-Faisaly
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
