Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ahmed M.
60'
Mena S.
63' Event
Khalif Mohammed Q.

AI Match Summary

Naft Al-Basra in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naft Al-Basra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Al-Hudod
15%
Draws
26%
Naft Al-Basra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Naft Al-Basra haven't matched Al-Hudod's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Al-Basra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hudod Naft Al-Basra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra
0:3
Feb 9, 2025 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Hudod
3:1
Apr 15, 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Hudod
1:2
Oct 26, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Hudod
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hudod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Naft Al-Basra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalif Mohammed Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hudod 32 / 100
Naft Al-Basra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hudod Naft Al-Basra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Naft Al-Basra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al-Hudod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hudod VS Naft Al-Basra
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hudod

(Home)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
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Naft Al-Basra

(Away)
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0
Naft Al-Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al-Basra
4 : 3
Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2
Naft Al-Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al-Basra
1 : 3
Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1
Naft Al-Basra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)