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Al Ittifaq vs Al Reef Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Reef in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Ittifaq
15%
Draws
21%
Al Reef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittifaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Al Ittifaq have won more games recently than Al Reef.
  • Win probability leans Al Ittifaq's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Ittifaq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Reef, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ittifaq Clean Sheet 20%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittifaq Al Reef
Matches Played 28 13
Wins 8 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.21 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Ittifaq vs Al Reef
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittifaq 85 / 100
Al Reef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittifaq Al Reef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittifaq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Reef conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Ittifaq scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Al Ittifaq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittifaq VS Al Reef
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittifaq

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0
Al Ittifaq
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2
Al Ittifaq
03 Feb
Al Ittifaq
2 : 0
Sitra
Page 1 of 6

Al Reef

(Away)
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2
Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6
Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5
Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0
Al Reef
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hidd 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Al Riffa 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
3 Ali CSC 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Isa Town 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Al Budaiya 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 5 0 0 17:2 15
2 Al Ahli 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
3 Busaiteen 5 3 0 2 10:11 9
4 Al Reef 5 2 1 2 7:11 7
5 Al Najma 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Al Ittifaq 5 0 0 5 4:15 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 5 5 0 0 14:0 15
2 Al Shabbab 5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
5 Qalali 5 1 1 3 2:9 4
6 Malkia 5 1 0 4 2:15 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain SC 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
2 Bouri 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
3 East Riffa 5 2 1 2 8:3 7
4 Al Muharraq 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
5 Sitra 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
6 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)