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AI Match Summary
Busaiteen in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Ittifaq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Busaiteen have won more games recently than Al-Ittifaq.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ittifaq taking it.
- Busaiteen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Busaiteen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Busaiteen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al-Ittifaq Clean Sheet 20%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ittifaq | Busaiteen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittifaq vs Busaiteen
1:4
Dec 2, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittifaq vs Busaiteen
1:4
Sep 3, 2016 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittifaq vs Busaiteen
0:2
Nov 6, 2008 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Ittifaq
3:0
Apr 27, 2002 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Ittifaq
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Ittifaq 85 / 100
Busaiteen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Ittifaq Busaiteen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ittifaq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Busaiteen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Difficult form: Busaiteen registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Al-Ittifaq's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Ittifaq VS Busaiteen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Ittifaq
(Home) 12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2 Al-Ittifaq
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0 Al-Muharraq
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0 Al-Ittifaq
07 Mar
Al-Ahli
3 : 2 Al-Ittifaq
03 Feb
Al-Ittifaq
2 : 0 Sitra
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0 Al-Muharraq
03 Feb
Al-Ittifaq
2 : 0 Sitra
01 Feb
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 2 Al-Ahli
25 Jan
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0 Isa Town
14 Jan
Al-Ittifaq
2 : 2 Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 3
Busaiteen
(Away) 24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4 Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2 Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3 Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1 Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3 Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2 Busaiteen
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1 Busaiteen
28 Apr
Manama Club
2 : 1 Busaiteen
07 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0 Busaiteen
03 Mar
East Riffa
1 : 3 Busaiteen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hidd | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Budaiya | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al-Ahli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Reef | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 5 | Al-Najma | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Ittifaq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Al-Shabbab | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Qalali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Malkia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrain SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Muharraq | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Sitra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
