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Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League Aleppo International Stadium, Aleppo
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Rihanieh M.
90' Event
Al Ahmad A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Ittihad Aleppo and Al Jaish finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ittihad Aleppo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
20%
Draws
28%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Ittihad Aleppo come out ahead of Al Jaish on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ittihad Aleppo taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Ittihad Aleppo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Aleppo Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 2.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:5
Dec 7, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittihad Aleppo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rihanieh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ahmad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Jaish Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad Aleppo 85 / 100
Al Jaish 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Al Jaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Aleppo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al-Ittihad Aleppo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al-Ittihad Aleppo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Jaish let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad Aleppo VS Al Jaish
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad Aleppo

(Home)
11 Aug
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Page 1 of 6

Al Jaish

(Away)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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