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Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Bangladesh Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Aleppo International Stadium, Aleppo
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Match Events

44' Event
Jordan
Assist: Hanan Z.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Ittihad Aleppo
15%
Draws
34%
Bangladesh Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Aleppo come out ahead of Bangladesh Police on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Ittihad Aleppo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad Aleppo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Aleppo Bangladesh Police
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 2.69 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Bangladesh Police
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Aleppo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jordan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bangladesh Police Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Aleppo 41 / 100
Bangladesh Police 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Aleppo Bangladesh Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Aleppo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Aleppo's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Ittihad Aleppo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bangladesh Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Aleppo VS Bangladesh Police
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Aleppo

(Home)
10 Oct
Horriya
1 : 3
Al Ittihad Aleppo
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh Police

(Away)
10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1
City Club
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dordoi Bishkek 1
Homs Al Fidaa 2
Fortis 1
Muras United 0
Al Ittihad Aleppo 1
Bangladesh Police 0
Maziya 0
Regar-TadAZ 3
Paro 2
Abu Muslim 0
Taiwan Steel 3
Central Stallions 2
FC Ulaanbaatar 1
Hang Yuen 2
Ezra 1
Yangon United 2
Kasuka 2
Karketu Dili 1