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Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Alexandria host El Gaish in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ittihad Alexandria have averaged 1.03 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against El Gaish's 0.83 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ittihad Alexandria slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.75, favoring Al Ittihad Alexandria. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
15%
Draws
21%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ittihad Alexandria at 1.03 per game, El Gaish at 0.83.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 20%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria El Gaish
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 85 / 100
El Gaish 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria El Gaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Alexandria found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

El Gaish has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

El Gaish's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS El Gaish
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
13 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
2 : 1
El Gouna
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

El Gaish

(Away)
13 Oct
National Bank Egypt
3 : 0
El Gaish
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
ZED FC
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 6 0 0 13:2 18
2 Al Ahly 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
4 Modern Sport 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
5 Al Ittihad Alexandria 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
6 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
7 National Bank Egypt 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
8 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 Petrojet 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
10 ZED FC 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
11 Al Qanah 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
12 Al Masry 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Smouha 6 2 1 3 2:4 7
14 El Gaish 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
15 Wadi Degla 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
16 Asyut Petroleum 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
17 Enppi 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
18 Abu Qir Semad 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
19 El Gouna 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
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