Sport Picks
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Egypt
Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria 
AI Match Summary
Al Ittihad Alexandria host El Gouna in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Ittihad Alexandria at 1.07 goals for, 0.79 against; El Gouna at 0.84 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor El Gouna slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back Al Ittihad Alexandria to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Ittihad Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Ittihad Alexandria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad Alexandria | El Gouna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
El Gouna has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ittihad Alexandria
(Home)El Gouna
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Zamalek | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Modern Sport | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 7 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | El Gaish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qir Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petroleum | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | 1 |
