Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Al Ittihad Alexandria Logo

Al Ittihad Alexandria

1 - 1
FT
Pharco FC Logo

Pharco FC

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Magdi A.
46'
Sub
Ndiay A. In: Medhat W. R.
Out: Ndiay A.
46'
Sub
Gaber M. In: Shaaban A.
Out: Gaber M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ittihad Alexandria and Pharco FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
20%
Draws
33%
Pharco FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Alexandria come out ahead of Pharco FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
Pharco FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria Pharco FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Dec 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pharco FC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Tayeb K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 68 / 100
Pharco FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria Pharco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pharco FC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Al Ittihad Alexandria's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS Pharco FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
21 Aug
Zamalek
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Pharco FC

(Away)
01 Oct
Pharco FC
0 : 1
Tersana
24 Sept
Kahrabaa Ismailia
3 : 1
Pharco FC
18 Sept
Pharco FC
2 : 1
Delta United
10 Sept
Pharco FC
2 : 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla
04 Sept
El Daklyeh
0 : 0
Pharco FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Wadi Degla 13 6 6 1 19:9 53
9 ZED FC 13 5 5 3 18:15 49
10 National Bank Egypt 13 6 4 3 20:16 48
11 El Gouna 13 4 6 3 10:9 46
12 Petrojet 13 5 5 3 18:15 45
13 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 13 4 8 1 15:10 38
14 Ghazl El Mahallah 13 4 7 2 15:11 38
15 Modern Sport 13 2 8 3 8:10 37
16 El Gaish 13 4 3 6 7:10 37
17 Al Ittihad Alexandria 13 3 7 3 14:14 36
18 Kahrabaa Ismailia 13 3 7 3 13:16 32
19 Haras El Hodood 13 1 6 6 11:19 26
20 Pharco FC 13 2 4 7 7:13 25
21 El Ismaily 13 1 6 6 4:12 20
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)