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Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Magdi A.
46'
Sub
Ndiay A. In: Medhat W. R.
Out: Ndiay A.
46'
Sub
Gaber M. In: Shaaban A.
Out: Gaber M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ittihad Alexandria and Pharco FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
22%
Draws
18%
Pharco FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Alexandria come out ahead of Pharco FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
Pharco FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria Pharco FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Jun 24, 2024 Premier League
Pharco FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Dec 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Pharco FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pharco FC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Tayeb K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 68 / 100
Pharco FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria Pharco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pharco FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Al Ittihad Alexandria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS Pharco FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Pharco FC

(Away)
28 May
El Ismaily
1 : 2
Pharco FC
22 May
Pharco FC
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
18 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Pharco FC
12 May
Pharco FC
0 : 1
Modern Sport
08 May
Kahrabaa Ismailia
0 : 0
Pharco FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)