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Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Wadi Degla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Isaac S.
11'
Sub
Mahmoud A. In: Mahmoud A.
Out: Mahmoud A.
58'
Sub
Wahid Y. In: Nagy A.
Out: Wahid Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
15%
Draws
37%
Wadi Degla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wadi Degla lately — more wins on the board than Al Ittihad Alexandria.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Wadi Degla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wadi Degla, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wadi Degla have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria Wadi Degla
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Wadi Degla
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
4:1
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Wadi Degla
1:2
Aug 13, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Apr 15, 2021 Egypt Cup
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Wadi Degla Compare

Top Goalscorer Refaat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 50 / 100
Wadi Degla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria Wadi Degla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Wadi Degla let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS Wadi Degla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

Wadi Degla

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
01 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
Al Qanah
28 Aug
Enppi
1 : 3
Wadi Degla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)